Overview:
WHAT: MARGINAL RISK to SLIGHT RISK of Heavy Rain that could lead to flash flooding
WHEN: Today with a marginal risk continuing into Tuesday
WHERE: All of southeast Louisiana and south Mississippi.
CONFIDENCE:
· We are confident that there will be thunderstorms across the area and that a few will produce heavy rainfall. We are less confident in exactly where the greatest threat will be.
· Confidence is higher in thunderstorms producing heavy rainfall this afternoon during peak heating.
Impacts:
· Additional rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is currently forecast, with isolated amounts of 5 inches or more.
· High rainfall rates will quickly lead to runoff with ponding of water in low lying areas and localized flash flooding.
The attached graphics below highlights the threats associated with this system.



